Seeing the Forest

Who is our economy FOR, anyway?

Main menu

Skip to primary content
Skip to secondary content
  • Home
  • About Seeing the Forest
  • Support Seeing the Forest

Tag Archives: currency rates

Today’s Dollar-Falling Post – Doomed?

Posted on December 19, 2006 by Dave Johnson
Reply

Is the dollar doomed?

There are plenty of big economic questions that will be answered in 2007. Will there be a global trade deal? Can the German economy shrug off the impact of higher taxes? Can China continue to grow at 10% a year? Will oil prices stay high or come crashing down? But they are all sideshows to the main event. The really crucial question for 2007 is whether it is the year when there is a run on the dollar. There are plenty of people out there – me included – who think the US currency is going to take a beating over the next 12 months.
… A high dollar meant exports into the US were cheap, and that kept both inflation and interest rates low. Easy credit terms meant that the US has had not one but two speculative booms over the past decade, the first in dot com shares, the second in the housing market. Growth has been artificially boosted and the trade deficit has exploded.
Now, though, things have started to change.

Go read

Posted in Economics | Tagged central banks, currency rates, current account deficit, Dollar, euro, exports, falling dollar, Federal Reserce, gold, imports, inflation, interest rates, Pound, retail sales, trade deficit, Yen | Leave a reply

Today’s Dollar-Falling Post – New 20-Month Low

Posted on November 28, 2006 by Dave Johnson
Reply

Dollar hits fresh 20-month euro low after mixed U.S. data,

The dollar tumbled to a fresh 20-month low against the euro Tuesday after a government report showed demand for U.S.-made durable goods declined much more than forecast last month.
But the U.S. currency edged slightly higher versus the yen after data showed an unexpected increase in sales of existing U.S. homes in October and a solid reading from the Richmond Fed’s manufacturing index.
Analysts say sentiment toward the dollar remains negative.

Posted in Economics | Tagged central banks, currency rates, current account deficit, Dollar, euro, exports, falling dollar, Federal Reserce, gold, imports, inflation, interest rates, retail sales, trade deficit | Leave a reply

Today’s Dollar-Falling Post — 20-Month Low

Posted on November 27, 2006 by Dave Johnson
Reply

Dollar hits 20-month low against the euro – MarketWatch,

The dollar extended its sharp losses against the euro Monday, touching a 20-month low, but steadied against the yen, as traders awaited U.S. economic data this week.

Stock markets are reacting, Stocks sharply lower on dollar, Wal-Mart and FTSE 100 ends down, hit by weak U.S. dollar,

The FTSE 100 index .FTSE of Britain’s largest shares fell to its lowest close in seven weeks on Monday as the sliding dollar continued to weigh on stocks with U.S. exposure.

And metals, Gold, silver hit highs on dollar weakness,

Gold steadied on Monday after an earlier climb to its highest level in more than three months as a weaker dollar and firm oil prices prompted investors to buy the precious metal.

Posted in Economics | Tagged central banks, currency rates, current account deficit, Dollar, euro, exports, falling dollar, Federal Reserce, gold, imports, inflation, interest rates, retail sales, trade deficit | Leave a reply

Today’s Dollar-Falling Post – Dollar 40% Too High?

Posted on November 26, 2006 by Dave Johnson
Reply

Over at Brad DeLong’s Semi-Daily Journal: Fair and Balanced Almost Every Day: The Dollar Looks 40% too High, and Long Treasury Yields Look 200 Basis Points too Low,

…Menzie Chinn worries about the possibility of a dollar crash:
One of the enduring oddities of the international economy is the willingness of foreign investors — both private, official, and quasi-state — to hold dollar assets despite the very low returns on such assets, even when comparing in common currency terms. It is this anomaly that Krugman disucusses in an academic paper asessening the possibility of a dollar crisis.
Concerns about a dollar crisis can be divided into two questions: Will there be a plunge in the dollar? Will this plunge have nasty macroeconomic consequences?

The message appears to be that the dollar’s value is out-of-whack–too high–because nobody expects it to decline by a lot in the near future, and that expectation means that demand for dollar-denominated securities is high because U.S. interest rates are higher than interest rates in Japan and Europe. One again, it looks like there may well be lots of money left on the table.

OK, that was a complicated series of quoting someone who is quoting someone who is quoting someone, so go sort it out at the original… the point being that the dollar is still WAYYYY too high, and that there is the possibility of a recession coming (see ‘Housing Bubble’ posts). He’s quoting from, Econobrowser, Will the Dollar Plunge? Would that Be So Bad?
Angry Bear on all this,

In other words, we can avoid a recession even as we move to fiscal restraint if we allow currencies to float.

When the dollar falls, it means that everything from other countries costs much more. This supposedly is great for American manufacturers because our goods will cost much less to others, and we can start exporting (and hiring) again. Possibly even heading off a recesion. But my question is, how much has our manufacturing infrastructure eroded? CAN WE start manufacturing for domestic and export to pick up the opportunity of a plunging dollar?

Posted in Economics | Tagged central banks, currency rates, current account deficit, Dollar, euro, exports, falling dollar, Federal Reserce, gold, imports, inflation, interest rates, retail sales, trade deficit | Leave a reply

Today’s Dollar-Falling Post

Posted on November 24, 2006 by Dave Johnson
2

Yes, a new Seeing the Forest series: the falling dollar. We’re likely to be hearing a lot of news along this front in coming months. So I’ll be tracking it.
Dollar plunges to 19-month low against euro,

Growing pessimism over the dollar facilitated a sell-off Friday that plunged the greenback to a 19-month low versus the euro and a nearly two-year low against the U.K. pound.
[. . .] There is also mounting concerns that central banks around the globe might begin to aggressively diversify their foreign reserves into euros and away from dollars, the long-standing reserve currency of choice.
On Friday, China warned other countries that holding excessive dollar reserves may not be a good idea.
Wu Xiaoling, a senior People’s Bank of China official, said Friday that continued weakness in the U.S. dollar poses a risk for East Asia’s foreign-exchange reserves, Market News International reported.

U.S. Stocks Fall on Higher Oil, Weak Dollar; Retailers Decline,

U.S. stocks fell, snapping the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s two-week winning streak, after higher oil prices and a weaker dollar sparked concerns that holiday sales and economic growth may falter.

The U.S. Dollar is the Week’s Biggest Turkey,

Continue reading →

Posted in Economics | Tagged central banks, currency rates, current account deficit, Dollar, euro, exports, falling dollar, Federal Reserce, gold, imports, inflation, interest rates, retail sales, trade deficit | 2 Replies

Seeing the Forest Supports Progressives

You should click this and help support progressives! Also you can click here to learn why this makes such a difference.

Popular Posts

  • You Should Be Outraged By What Is Being Done To Our Postal Service
  • Phony IRS “Scandal” — We’ve Been O’Keefe’d Again
  • Tom Friedman Explains The Problem With The Economy
  • 40% Of Americans Now Make Less Than 1968 Minimum Wage
  • Zero Manufacturing Jobs Added. Zero.
  • Congress Quietly Repealed STOCK Act That Fought Congressional Corruption
  • About Seeing the Forest

Recent Posts

  • TPP: A Deregulation Treaty Not A Trade Treaty
  • The Latest Lie: IRS Targeted Conservatives
  • Apple Avoiding Billions And Billions Of Dollars In Taxes
  • Deficit Fixed. Now Fix The Job Gap, Wage Gap And Trade Gap
  • Grateful Dead 1967


Categories

  • Bad Democrats
  • Bailouts
  • Blog Hero Award
  • Blogging
  • Books
  • Bush
  • California
  • Calls to Action
  • Candidates
  • Civil Liberties
  • Computers
  • Corporate Rule
  • Corruption
  • Coverups
  • Democracy and Community
  • Democratic Convention
  • Economics
  • Elections
  • Environment and Energy
  • Funny
  • Government and Governing
  • Health Care
  • Housing Bubble
  • Human Rights
  • Impeachment
  • Iraq War
  • John Emerson
  • kerry
  • Labor
  • Making It In America
  • Movies
  • Music
  • News
  • Obama
  • Occupy
  • Party Over Country
  • Plutocracy
  • Political Strategy
  • Products
  • Progressive Infrastructure
  • Progressive Values
  • Propaganda
  • Radio
  • Religion & Athiesm
  • Right-Wing Takeover
  • Romney
  • RW Smears
  • Social Security
  • swiftboating
  • Technology
  • The Commons
  • The Media
  • The Right
  • The Rove Scandal
  • The STF Rule
  • Trade
  • TV
  • Uncategorized
  • Voting Machines
  • War and Military

Archives

  • May 2013
  • April 2013
  • March 2013
  • February 2013
  • January 2013
  • December 2012
  • November 2012
  • October 2012
  • September 2012
  • August 2012
  • July 2012
  • June 2012
  • May 2012
  • April 2012
  • March 2012
  • February 2012
  • January 2012
  • December 2011
  • November 2011
  • October 2011
  • September 2011
  • August 2011
  • July 2011
  • June 2011
  • May 2011
  • April 2011
  • March 2011
  • February 2011
  • January 2011
  • December 2010
  • November 2010
  • October 2010
  • September 2010
  • August 2010
  • July 2010
  • June 2010
  • May 2010
  • April 2010
  • March 2010
  • February 2010
  • January 2010
  • December 2009
  • November 2009
  • October 2009
  • September 2009
  • August 2009
  • July 2009
  • June 2009
  • May 2009
  • April 2009
  • March 2009
  • February 2009
  • January 2009
  • December 2008
  • November 2008
  • October 2008
  • September 2008
  • August 2008
  • July 2008
  • June 2008
  • May 2008
  • April 2008
  • March 2008
  • February 2008
  • January 2008
  • December 2007
  • November 2007
  • October 2007
  • September 2007
  • August 2007
  • July 2007
  • June 2007
  • May 2007
  • April 2007
  • March 2007
  • February 2007
  • January 2007
  • December 2006
  • November 2006
  • October 2006
  • September 2006
  • August 2006
  • July 2006
  • June 2006
  • May 2006
  • April 2006
  • March 2006
  • February 2006
  • January 2006
  • December 2005
  • November 2005
  • October 2005
  • September 2005
  • August 2005
  • July 2005
  • June 2005
  • May 2005
  • April 2005
  • March 2005
  • February 2005
  • January 2005
  • December 2004
  • November 2004
  • October 2004
  • September 2004
  • August 2004
  • July 2004
  • June 2004
  • May 2004
  • April 2004
  • March 2004
  • February 2004
  • January 2004
  • December 2003
  • November 2003
  • October 2003
  • September 2003
  • August 2003
  • July 2003
  • June 2003
  • May 2003
  • April 2003
  • March 2003
  • February 2003
  • January 2003
  • December 2002
  • November 2002
  • October 2002
  • September 2002
  • August 2002
  • July 2002

Meta

  • Register
  • Log in
  • Entries RSS
  • Comments RSS
  • WordPress.org
Proudly powered by WordPress